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Hotspots of climate change impacts in sub-Saharan Africa and implications for adaptation and development.
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- Author(s): Müller, Christoph1; Waha, Katharina1; Bondeau, Alberte2; Heinke, Jens1,3
- Source:
Global Change Biology. Aug2014, Vol. 20 Issue 8, p2505-2517. 13p. 2 Charts, 5 Maps.- Subject Terms:
- Source:
- Additional Information
- Subject Terms:
- Abstract: Development efforts for poverty reduction and food security in sub-Saharan Africa will have to consider future climate change impacts. Large uncertainties in climate change impact assessments do not necessarily complicate, but can inform development strategies. The design of development strategies will need to consider the likelihood, strength, and interaction of climate change impacts across biosphere properties. We here explore the spread of climate change impact projections and develop a composite impact measure to identify hotspots of climate change impacts, addressing likelihood and strength of impacts. Overlapping impacts in different biosphere properties (e.g. flooding, yields) will not only claim additional capacity to respond, but will also narrow the options to respond and develop. Regions with severest projected climate change impacts often coincide with regions of high population density and poverty rates. Science and policy need to propose ways of preparing these areas for development under climate change impacts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Abstract: Copyright of Global Change Biology is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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