Drink like a man? Modified Poisson analysis of adolescent binge drinking in the US, 1976-2022.

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  • Additional Information
    • Source:
      Publisher: Pergamon Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 8303205 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1873-5347 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 02779536 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Soc Sci Med Subsets: MEDLINE
    • Publication Information:
      Original Publication: Oxford ; New York : Pergamon, c1982-
    • Subject Terms:
      Binge Drinking*/epidemiology ; Underage Drinking*/statistics & numerical data; Humans ; Adolescent ; Male ; United States/epidemiology ; Female ; Poisson Distribution ; Incidence ; Adolescent Behavior/psychology ; Alcoholic Intoxication/epidemiology ; Sex Factors
    • Abstract:
      This study estimates temporal trajectories and sociodemographic disparities in underage adolescent binge drinking in the United States over the past four decades. By compiling 47 waves of national representative data from the Monitoring the Future (MTF) study between 1976 and 2022, we analyzed two types of adolescent binge drinking behaviors, past-two-week excessive drinking and drunkenness in the past 30 days, using the innovative modified Poisson (mixture) approach to grouped and right-censored counts (GRC). The overall decrease in incidence rates was attributable to substantial reductions in the risks of excessive drinking (45.77% in 1980 and 12.62% in 2022) and drunkenness (35.12% in 1998 and 14.81% in 2022). However, at-risk adolescents only showed mild reductions in incidence rates over time. While males consistently drank more often and were at a higher risk of binge drinking and drunkenness than females, the sex disparities tended to converge over time. The modified Poisson approach is a useful tool to estimate incidence, risk, and at-risk incidence in epidemiological studies with GRC counts. The alarming high incidence rates of at-risk adolescents, especially males, warrant further investigation.
      (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
    • Contributed Indexing:
      Keywords: Adolescent binge drinking; Grouped and right censored counts; Mixture models; Modified Poisson estimator
    • Publication Date:
      Date Created: 20241202 Date Completed: 20241208 Latest Revision: 20241208
    • Publication Date:
      20241210
    • Accession Number:
      10.1016/j.socscimed.2024.117553
    • Accession Number:
      39622124