A novel score to predict left ventricular recovery in peripartum cardiomyopathy derived from the ESC EORP Peripartum Cardiomyopathy Registry.

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  • Additional Information
    • Source:
      Publisher: Oxford University Press Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 8006263 Publication Model: Print Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1522-9645 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 0195668X NLM ISO Abbreviation: Eur Heart J Subsets: MEDLINE
    • Publication Information:
      Publication: 2005- : Oxford : Oxford University Press
      Original Publication: London, Saunders [etc.]
    • Subject Terms:
    • Abstract:
      Background and Aims: There are no established clinical tools to predict left ventricular (LV) recovery in women with peripartum cardiomyopathy (PPCM). Using data from women enrolled in the ESC EORP PPCM Registry, the aim was to derive a prognostic model to predict LV recovery at 6 months and develop the 'ESC EORP PPCM Recovery Score'-a tool for clinicians to estimate the probability of LV recovery.
      Methods: From 2012 to 2018, 752 women from 51 countries were enrolled. Eligibility included (i) a peripartum state, (ii) signs or symptoms of heart failure, (iii) LV ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤ 45%, and (iv) exclusion of alternative causes of heart failure. The model was derived using data from participants in the Registry and internally validated using bootstrap methods. The outcome was LV recovery (LVEF ≥50%) at six months. An integer score was created.
      Results: Overall, 465 women had a 6-month echocardiogram. LV recovery occurred in 216 (46.5%). The final model included baseline LVEF, baseline LV end diastolic diameter, human development index (a summary measure of a country's social and economic development), duration of symptoms, QRS duration and pre-eclampsia. The model was well-calibrated and had good discriminatory ability (C-statistic 0.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.74-0.83). The model was internally validated (optimism-corrected C-statistic 0.78, 95% CI 0.73-0.82).
      Conclusions: A model which accurately predicts LV recovery at 6 months in women with PPCM was derived. The corresponding ESC EORP PPCM Recovery Score can be easily applied in clinical practice to predict the probability of LV recovery for an individual in order to guide tailored counselling and treatment.
      (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)
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    • Grant Information:
      FS/18/14/33330 United Kingdom BHF_ British Heart Foundation; 101045236 International ERC_ European Research Council
    • Contributed Indexing:
      Keywords: Left ventricular recovery; Peripartum cardiomyopathy; Prediction model
    • Publication Date:
      Date Created: 20240129 Date Completed: 20240422 Latest Revision: 20240426
    • Publication Date:
      20240426
    • Accession Number:
      PMC11032708
    • Accession Number:
      10.1093/eurheartj/ehad888
    • Accession Number:
      38282532