Large-scale reforestation can increase water yield and reduce drought risk for water-insecure regions in the Asia-Pacific.

Publisher: Blackwell Pub Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 9888746 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1365-2486 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 13541013 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Glob Chang Biol Subsets: MEDLINE

Publication: : Oxford : Blackwell Pub.
Original Publication: Oxford, UK : Blackwell Science, 1995-

Droughts* ; Water*; China ; Soil ; Water Cycle

Large-scale reforestation can potentially bring both benefits and risks to the water cycle, which needs to be better quantified under future climates to inform reforestation decisions. We identified 477 water-insecure basins worldwide accounting for 44.6% (380.2 Mha) of the global reforestation potential. As many of these basins are in the Asia-Pacific, we used regional coupled land-climate modeling for the period 2041-2070 to reveal that reforestation increases evapotranspiration and precipitation for most water-insecure regions over the Asia-Pacific. This resulted in a statistically significant increase in water yield (p < .05) for the Loess Plateau-North China Plain, Yangtze Plain, Southeast China, and Irrawaddy regions. Precipitation feedback was influenced by the degree of initial moisture limitation affecting soil moisture response and thus evapotranspiration, as well as precipitation advection from other reforested regions and moisture transport away from the local region. Reforestation also reduces the probability of extremely dry months in most of the water-insecure regions. However, some regions experience nonsignificant declines in net water yield due to heightened evapotranspiration outstripping increases in precipitation, or declines in soil moisture and advected precipitation.
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Keywords: forest-water nexus; natural climate solutions; nature-based solutions; precipitation; socio-ecological systems; water balance; water risk; water stress

0 (Soil)
059QF0KO0R (Water)

Date Created: 20220902 Date Completed: 20221004 Latest Revision: 20221103

20240829

10.1111/gcb.16404

36054815