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Wando Mount Pleasant Library
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Age-period-cohort analysis of U.S. fertility: a realistic approach.
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- Author(s): Billari, Francesco; Graziani, Rebecca
- Source:
Quality & Quantity; Aug2024, Vol. 58 Issue 4, p3021-3040, 20p- Subject Terms:
- Source:
- Additional Information
- Subject Terms:
- Abstract: A key question for the explanation of fertility trends in advanced societies is whether, in addition to age, period- rather than cohort-related factors matter. In this paper, we analyze a standard set of age-specific fertility rates – from the Human Fertility Database – on the United States between 1933 and 2015. More specifically, we describe and apply an Age-Period-Cohort (APC) modeling approach that relies on second differences as identifiable parameters. Results of our APC analyses tend to be consistent with an interpretation that gives a greater weight to period effects over shorter time horizons, with a significant presence of smooth cohort effects over the longer term. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Abstract: Copyright of Quality & Quantity is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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