Modulation of the Pacific Meridional Mode on the Dipole Pattern of the CONUS Summertime Precipitation.

Historically, the precipitation trend over the past few decades in the Contiguous United States (CONUS) exhibits a "Dry‐West Wet‐East" pattern; this is manifested by recent droughts/floods in the western/eastern US. However, it remains elusive what atmospheric phenomenon has potentially driven such a remarkable, and impactful precipitation pattern. Here we found that a coupled climate mode—the Pacific Meridional Mode (PMM) exerted strong impacts on the precipitation pattern over the CONUS during the summer season. We discovered a significant association between the PMM index and precipitation across the majority of the CONUS; this was manifested as a zonal dipole pattern—negative correlations in the western U.S. along with positive correlations in the eastern and central U.S. Overall, the physical mechanisms based on observations were supported by using Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project simulations available from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. Plain Language Summary: Historically, the Contiguous United States (CONUS) was parched in the West and soaked in the East. Despite the importance of this distinct spatial pattern of precipitation variability, the drivers of this hydroclimatic phenomenon remain elusive. Therefore, there is big knowledge gap in understanding the zonal precipitation pattern during the historical period. Here we find that the Pacific Meridional Mode (PMM) can exert strong impacts on the zonal precipitation pattern over the CONUS during the summer season. We discovered a significant association between the PMM index and the precipitation across the majority of the CONUS; this was manifested as a zonal dipole pattern—negative correlations in the western U.S. along with positive correlations in the eastern and central U.S. Overall, the physical mechanisms based on observations were supported by the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project experiments of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (Phase 6). Our research results explain in large part the zonal precipitation pattern ("Dry‐West Wet‐East") in the CONUS, and perhaps more importantly, the viability of the PMM being used as a potential predictor/indicator for summertime precipitation over the U.S. Key Points: The Pacific Meridional Mode (PMM) exerted strong impacts on the precipitation pattern over the CONUS during the summer seasonThe modulation on precipitation is manifested as a zonal dipole pattern, tied to teleconnections associated PMM sea‐surface temperature anomaliesThe physical mechanisms based on observations were supported by CMIP6 climate model simulations [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Geophysical Research Letters is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)