Different Demographic Pathways of the PostSocialist Transition: Mortality Trends in Croatia and Slovenia during COVID-19.

Različne demografske smeri postsocialistične tranzicije: trendi umrljivosti na Hrvaškem in v Sloveniji v času covida-19. (Slovenian)

CROATIA; SLOVENIA

The paper discusses the COVID-19 mortality in Slovenia and Croatia in 2020 and 2021. The aim of the paper is to determine similarities and differences in mortality trends during COVID-19 period and to discuss the underlying causes and consequences. It is hypothesised that the unfavourable age structure of both countries was a catalyst of the excess mortality differentials, and that the different paths of post-socialist transitions significantly contributed to differential mortality in 2020. The analyses confirmed a biased effect of the excess mortality indicator, which is applicable only if supported with sufficient attributive data. Moreover, findings confirmed the hypothesis that COVID-19 mortality largely contributed to overall mortality in Slovenia in 2020, particularly due to the increased mortality in long-term care facilities (LTCF) which was about 70% higher compared to that of Croatia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Prispevek obravnava stopnjo umrljivosti zaradi covida-19 v Sloveniji in na Hrvaškem v letih 2020 in 2021. Domnevamo, da je za razlike v stopnji umrljivosti kriva zlasti neugodna starostna struktura v Sloveniji in na Hrvaškem ter da so različne poti postsocialistične tranzicije, zlasti kar zadeva razvoj na področju dolgotrajne oskrbe, pomembno prispevale k povečani umrljivosti leta 2020. Analize so potrdile pristranski učinek kazalnika presežne umrljivosti, ki je uporaben le, če je podprt z zadostnimi opisnimi podatki. Poleg tega so ugotovitve potrdile hipotezo, da je umrljivost zaradi covida-19 pomembno prispevala k skupni umrljivosti v Sloveniji v letu 2020. Pri tem je bilo največ smrti zabeleženih v zavodih za dolgotrajno oskrbo, katerih smrtnost je bila približno 70 odstotkov višja kot na Hrvaškem. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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