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Encouraged to Cheat? Federal Incentives and Career Concerns at the Sub-national Level as Determinants of Under-Reporting of COVID-19 Mortality in Russia.
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- Author(s): Kofanov, Dmitrii1 (AUTHOR); Kozlov, Vladimir2 (AUTHOR); Libman, Alexander3 (AUTHOR) ; Zakharov, Nikita4 (AUTHOR)
- Source:
British Journal of Political Science. Jul2023, Vol. 53 Issue 3, p835-860. 26p.- Subject Terms:
- Source:
- Additional Information
- Subject Terms:
- Subject Terms:
- Abstract: This article investigates the determinants and consequences of manipulating COVID-19 statistics in an authoritarian federation using the Russian case. It abandons the interpretation of the authoritarian regime as a unitary actor and acknowledges the need to account for a complex interaction of various bureaucratic and political players to understand the spread and the logic of manipulation. Our estimation strategy takes advantage of a natural experiment where the onset of the pandemic adjourned the national referendum enabling new presidential terms for Putin. To implement the rescheduled referendum, Putin needed sub-national elites to manufacture favourable COVID-19 statistics to convince the public that the pandemic was under control. While virtually all regions engaged in data manipulation, there was a substantial variation in the degree of misreporting. A third of this variation can be explained by an asynchronous schedule of regional governors' elections, winning which depends almost exclusively on support from the federal authorities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Abstract: Copyright of British Journal of Political Science is the property of Cambridge University Press and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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