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Fiscal consolidation after the Great Recession: the role of composition.
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- Author(s): Kataryniuk, Iván; Vallés, Javier
- Source:
Oxford Economic Papers; Apr2018, Vol. 70 Issue 2, p563-585, 23p- Subject Terms:
- Source:
- Additional Information
- Subject Terms:
- Abstract: We have examined the fiscal consolidation episodes in a group of OECD countries from 2009 to 2014. The range of the estimated short-term fiscal multiplier runs from 1.2 to 2.0, larger than those obtained in more 'normal times', implying that the contractionary effect has been larger in depressed environments. Nevertheless, we also found that revenue measures have a higher and more persistent real impact than expenditure measures, which is more consistent with the influence of current consolidations on the expectations about the future path of fiscal policies (the expectations channel). This result suggests that expenditure cuts are less harmful for the economy than tax hikes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Abstract: Copyright of Oxford Economic Papers is the property of Oxford University Press / USA and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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