Projection for household development in China.

Publisher: Allerton Press Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 101084111 Publication Model: Print Cited Medium: Print ISSN: 1044-8403 (Print) Linking ISSN: 10448403 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Chin J Popul Sci

Original Publication: [New York, N.Y.] : Allerton Press, 1989-

Economics* ; Family Characteristics* ; Forecasting* ; Residence Characteristics* ; Rural Population* ; Urban Population*; Asia ; China ; Delivery of Health Care ; Demography ; Developing Countries ; Asia, Eastern ; Geography ; Health Planning ; Organization and Administration ; Population ; Population Characteristics ; Research ; Statistics as Topic

Indexing Agency: IND Local ID #: 8022064. Indexing Agency: PIP Local ID #: 074569. Indexing Agency: POP Local ID #: 00225532.
Keywords: Asia; China; Demographic Factors; Developing Countries; Distributional Activities; Eastern Asia; Economic Factors; Estimation Technics; Family And Household*; Family Characteristics; Family Size; Family Size, Average*; Geographic Factors; Household Consumption*; Household Distribution*; Living Arrangements*; Microeconomic Factors; Nonclinical Distribution; Organization And Administration; Population; Population Characteristics; Population Projection*; Program Activities; Programs; Research Methodology; Residence Characteristics; Rural Population*; Spatial Distribution; Urban Population*
Note: TJ: CHINESE JOURNAL OF POPULATION SCIENCE
Local Abstract: [PIP] In traditional Chinese culture, marriage and setting up a new household is the most important event in life with the requisite purchases of real estate, furniture and other large items from years of savings. The development of the national economy depends on these households to as significant extent as they also provide microeconomic functions in society. The sex age-specific householder rate method was used for forecasting the number of future households. The UN medium projection of the population of China for the year 2000 indicated 1,285,000,000, the low projection showed 1,260,000,000 and the high projection came up with 1,300,000,000 with an essentially unchanged number of households and probably smaller average household size. The 1988, the China Population Statistics Almanac disclosed that in 1987 there was a total 258,340,000 households expected to increase according to the medium projection to 370,000,000 households expected to increase according to the medium projection to 370,640,000 by 2000. This annual growth rate of 2.8% exceeds the rate of 1.4% in the 1950s, 1.8% in the 1960s and early 1970s and 2.4% during 1975-87. The data of the Statistics Bureau and the Ministry of Public Security for 1985-89 yielded an annual household growth rate of 3.6%. This could be attributed to the increased number of births following the troublesome early 1960s who enter marriage age now. Based on the average household living space of 61.37 sq m there would be an additional 6,890,000,000 sq m of living space requirement for 112,300,000 new households. The proportion of urban population would rise from the level of 1987 when the agricultural population made up 80.1% and the nonagricultural segment comprised 19.8%. New household construction would require planning, raising funds, building materials, construction teams, and land.

Date Created: 19910101 Date Completed: 19940421 Latest Revision: 20221207

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