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Paying attention and the incumbency effect: Voting behavior in the 2014 Toronto Municipal Election.
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- Author(s): Moore, Aaron A.; McGregor, R. Michael; Stephenson, Laura B.
- Source:
International Political Science Review; Jan2017, Vol. 38 Issue 1, p85-98, 14p- Subject Terms:
- Source:
- Additional Information
- Subject Terms:
- Abstract: The importance of incumbent evaluations for voting and the existence of an incumbency effect are well-established. However, there is limited research on the effect incumbency has on voters’ engagement with election campaigns. This paper examines whether the use of incumbency as a cue when voting is associated with there being less interest in an election and whether campaign period attentiveness affects incumbent support. We consider these questions using data from the Toronto Election Study, a large-N, two-wave survey of Torontonians conducted around the time of the 2014 Toronto Municipal Election. We find that attentiveness, on its own, does not make voters more likely to support an incumbent or non-incumbent candidate. However, among individuals with high knowledge, attentiveness decreases the likelihood of supporting the incumbent, as opposed to a non-incumbent candidate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Abstract: Copyright of International Political Science Review is the property of Sage Publications, Ltd. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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